Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.998419 4.277302 4.575250 4.918856 5.306218 5.731822 6.238174
2025-09-07 3.554595 3.942435 4.382570 4.925343 5.585788 6.375875 7.412729
2025-09-14 3.195836 3.621138 4.121690 4.765521 5.589253 6.634442 8.108801
2025-09-21 2.957260 3.405418 3.947794 4.668942 5.630017 6.911661 8.839164
2025-09-28 2.786292 3.251822 3.828547 4.617465 5.707286 7.227878 9.658336
2025-10-05 2.664292 3.147033 3.757872 4.615663 5.841559 7.629199 10.669355
2025-10-12 2.592407 3.098914 3.753571 4.697876 6.096243 8.234974 12.136591
2025-10-19 2.523741 3.048834 3.740467 4.762677 6.327236 8.832137 13.736324
2025-10-26 2.444907 2.979444 3.694683 4.773746 6.473085 9.306685 15.231967
2025-11-02 2.347490 2.879191 3.598995 4.701876 6.477032 9.532972 16.276384
2025-11-09 2.243826 2.765297 3.477467 4.581509 6.388529 9.577891 16.928622
2025-11-16 2.163364 2.679814 3.391768 4.509511 6.372692 9.753596 17.944494
2025-11-23 2.116849 2.641659 3.375056 4.548034 6.557305 10.360920 20.339713
2025-11-30 2.064362 2.592934 3.340519 4.556184 6.690829 10.894848 22.825372
2025-12-07 1.975755 2.489033 3.219011 4.415216 6.540287 10.805528 23.393350
2025-12-14 1.907810 2.412278 3.134653 4.329796 6.484262 10.914233 24.678981
2025-12-21 1.854830 2.355025 3.076853 4.284211 6.497688 11.179777 26.670371
2025-12-28 1.816249 2.317188 3.046661 4.282614 6.594531 11.656552 29.803909
2026-01-04 1.797931 2.308159 3.059946 4.355402 6.844434 12.558070 35.597657
2026-01-11 1.776896 2.294117 3.064437 4.412707 7.069322 13.453806 42.592793
2026-01-18 1.746350 2.264654 3.043098 4.422490 7.195917 14.118039 49.407549
2026-01-25 1.701517 2.212224 2.983052 4.358941 7.158942 14.310480 53.485333
2026-02-01 1.649632 2.147739 2.901545 4.252348 7.019376 14.176783 55.024757